Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson dominates trader consensus at 97.2% implied probability for the May 5 IN-07 Democratic primary, bolstered by his 18-year hold on the D+21 Indianapolis district, crushing 2024 primary win by 85 points, and $646,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late 2025 versus George Hornedo's $26,500 and scant reports for Destiny Scott Wells and Denise Paul Hatch. Early April voter guides and IndyStar interviews spotlighted challenger critiques on voter turnout, immigration policy, and PAC donations amid low national Democratic favorability, yet no polls indicate upset potential with early voting underway. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, historical incumbency advantages in safe primaries favor Carson.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAndré Carson 97.2%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%
Destiny Scott Wells 1.1%
George Hornedo <1%
$12,900 वॉल्यूम
$12,900 वॉल्यूम
André Carson
97%
Denise Paul Hatch
1%
Destiny Scott Wells
1%
George Hornedo
<1%
André Carson 97.2%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%
Destiny Scott Wells 1.1%
George Hornedo <1%
$12,900 वॉल्यूम
$12,900 वॉल्यूम
André Carson
97%
Denise Paul Hatch
1%
Destiny Scott Wells
1%
George Hornedo
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson dominates trader consensus at 97.2% implied probability for the May 5 IN-07 Democratic primary, bolstered by his 18-year hold on the D+21 Indianapolis district, crushing 2024 primary win by 85 points, and $646,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late 2025 versus George Hornedo's $26,500 and scant reports for Destiny Scott Wells and Denise Paul Hatch. Early April voter guides and IndyStar interviews spotlighted challenger critiques on voter turnout, immigration policy, and PAC donations amid low national Democratic favorability, yet no polls indicate upset potential with early voting underway. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, historical incumbency advantages in safe primaries favor Carson.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न