Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez holds a commanding position in California's 34th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+28 stronghold where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 94.5% odds for a Democratic House winner. Post-filing deadline on March 6, 2026, the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features Gomez against four other Democrats and one Republican, Calvin Lee, who reports no fundraising; Gomez leads with over $650,000 cash on hand. Ratings from Cook (Solid Democratic) and Sabato (Safe Democratic) reflect historical patterns where two Democrats advanced in recent cycles, marginalizing GOP chances. Scenarios like a GOP primary upset, incumbent scandal, or late Republican heavyweight entry could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -34 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -34 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$20,843 वॉल्यूम
$20,843 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$20,843 वॉल्यूम
$20,843 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$6,837 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,006 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez holds a commanding position in California's 34th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+28 stronghold where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 94.5% odds for a Democratic House winner. Post-filing deadline on March 6, 2026, the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features Gomez against four other Democrats and one Republican, Calvin Lee, who reports no fundraising; Gomez leads with over $650,000 cash on hand. Ratings from Cook (Solid Democratic) and Sabato (Safe Democratic) reflect historical patterns where two Democrats advanced in recent cycles, marginalizing GOP chances. Scenarios like a GOP primary upset, incumbent scandal, or late Republican heavyweight entry could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,843समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez holds a commanding position in California's 34th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+28 stronghold where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 94.5% odds for a Democratic House winner. Post-filing deadline on March 6, 2026, the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features Gomez against four other Democrats and one Republican, Calvin Lee, who reports no fundraising; Gomez leads with over $650,000 cash on hand. Ratings from Cook (Solid Democratic) and Sabato (Safe Democratic) reflect historical patterns where two Democrats advanced in recent cycles, marginalizing GOP chances. Scenarios like a GOP primary upset, incumbent scandal, or late Republican heavyweight entry could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,843समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez holds a commanding position in California's 34th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+28 stronghold where Kamala Harris won 73% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 94.5% odds for a Democratic House winner. Post-filing deadline on March 6, 2026, the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features Gomez against four other Democrats and one Republican, Calvin Lee, who reports no fundraising; Gomez leads with over $650,000 cash on hand. Ratings from Cook (Solid Democratic) and Sabato (Safe Democratic) reflect historical patterns where two Democrats advanced in recent cycles, marginalizing GOP chances. Scenarios like a GOP primary upset, incumbent scandal, or late Republican heavyweight entry could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general.
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