Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election matchup after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Sherman’s prior 66% general election margin, underpins trader consensus. As a 15-term incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, fundraising infrastructure, and alignment with the area’s San Fernando Valley and coastal voter base. Thompson, an 81-year-old entertainment attorney and film producer running as a centrist, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic across major forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the resolution trigger; late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
$26,145 वॉल्यूम
$26,145 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ब्रैड शेरमेन (डेमोक्रेटिक)
95%
लैरी थॉम्पसन (रिपब्लिकन)
1%
$26,145 वॉल्यूम
$26,145 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ब्रैड शेरमेन (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$12,387 वॉल्यूम
95%
लैरी थॉम्पसन (रिपब्लिकन)
$13,758 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election matchup after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Sherman’s prior 66% general election margin, underpins trader consensus. As a 15-term incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, fundraising infrastructure, and alignment with the area’s San Fernando Valley and coastal voter base. Thompson, an 81-year-old entertainment attorney and film producer running as a centrist, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic across major forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the resolution trigger; late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,145समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election matchup after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Sherman’s prior 66% general election margin, underpins trader consensus. As a 15-term incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, fundraising infrastructure, and alignment with the area’s San Fernando Valley and coastal voter base. Thompson, an 81-year-old entertainment attorney and film producer running as a centrist, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic across major forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the resolution trigger; late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,145समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election matchup after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Sherman’s prior 66% general election margin, underpins trader consensus. As a 15-term incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, fundraising infrastructure, and alignment with the area’s San Fernando Valley and coastal voter base. Thompson, an 81-year-old entertainment attorney and film producer running as a centrist, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic across major forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest remains the resolution trigger; late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न