Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent elected in 2024, faces fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary that eliminated the sole Republican entrant. California's 12th District, encompassing urban East Bay communities including Oakland and Berkeley, maintains overwhelming Democratic voter registration and consistent partisan performance in recent cycles. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of a viable Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a major candidate withdrawal or extraordinary turnout shift, neither of which has precedent or supporting indicators in the district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$41,549 वॉल्यूम
$41,549 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$41,549 वॉल्यूम
$41,549 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$24,662 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,887 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent elected in 2024, faces fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary that eliminated the sole Republican entrant. California's 12th District, encompassing urban East Bay communities including Oakland and Berkeley, maintains overwhelming Democratic voter registration and consistent partisan performance in recent cycles. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of a viable Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a major candidate withdrawal or extraordinary turnout shift, neither of which has precedent or supporting indicators in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,549समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent elected in 2024, faces fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary that eliminated the sole Republican entrant. California's 12th District, encompassing urban East Bay communities including Oakland and Berkeley, maintains overwhelming Democratic voter registration and consistent partisan performance in recent cycles. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of a viable Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a major candidate withdrawal or extraordinary turnout shift, neither of which has precedent or supporting indicators in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$41,549समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent elected in 2024, faces fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce in the November 3, 2026 general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary that eliminated the sole Republican entrant. California's 12th District, encompassing urban East Bay communities including Oakland and Berkeley, maintains overwhelming Democratic voter registration and consistent partisan performance in recent cycles. This structural advantage, reinforced by the absence of a viable Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a major candidate withdrawal or extraordinary turnout shift, neither of which has precedent or supporting indicators in the district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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