California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 70 points for the party. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured roughly 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce while a Republican write-in candidate received negligible support. With no credible Republican nominee on the November 3 general election ballot and all major race raters classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unprecedented development such as a major scandal or health event affecting both Democratic candidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$44,263 वॉल्यूम
$44,263 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
98%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
<1%
$44,263 वॉल्यूम
$44,263 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$27,011 वॉल्यूम
98%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$17,251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 70 points for the party. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured roughly 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce while a Republican write-in candidate received negligible support. With no credible Republican nominee on the November 3 general election ballot and all major race raters classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unprecedented development such as a major scandal or health event affecting both Democratic candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,263समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 70 points for the party. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured roughly 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce while a Republican write-in candidate received negligible support. With no credible Republican nominee on the November 3 general election ballot and all major race raters classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unprecedented development such as a major scandal or health event affecting both Democratic candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$44,263समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 70 points for the party. Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured roughly 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce while a Republican write-in candidate received negligible support. With no credible Republican nominee on the November 3 general election ballot and all major race raters classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unprecedented development such as a major scandal or health event affecting both Democratic candidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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