California's 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in San Francisco, where voter registration favors Democrats by roughly 64% to 7% for Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, yet the June 2026 primary advanced only two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election ballot. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat absent unprecedented developments. Traders price the Democratic outcome near certainty because the district's partisan composition and electoral system have produced consistent Democratic holds, with no competitive Republican candidate emerging to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require both Democratic nominees to be removed from the ballot or disqualified through legal or procedural means before Election Day, an outcome with no current basis in filings or court records.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 वॉल्यूम
97%
Republican Party
$6,783 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in San Francisco, where voter registration favors Democrats by roughly 64% to 7% for Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, yet the June 2026 primary advanced only two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election ballot. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat absent unprecedented developments. Traders price the Democratic outcome near certainty because the district's partisan composition and electoral system have produced consistent Democratic holds, with no competitive Republican candidate emerging to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require both Democratic nominees to be removed from the ballot or disqualified through legal or procedural means before Election Day, an outcome with no current basis in filings or court records.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,763समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in San Francisco, where voter registration favors Democrats by roughly 64% to 7% for Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, yet the June 2026 primary advanced only two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election ballot. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat absent unprecedented developments. Traders price the Democratic outcome near certainty because the district's partisan composition and electoral system have produced consistent Democratic holds, with no competitive Republican candidate emerging to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require both Democratic nominees to be removed from the ballot or disqualified through legal or procedural means before Election Day, an outcome with no current basis in filings or court records.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,763समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in San Francisco, where voter registration favors Democrats by roughly 64% to 7% for Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, yet the June 2026 primary advanced only two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election ballot. This structure ensures the winner will be a Democrat absent unprecedented developments. Traders price the Democratic outcome near certainty because the district's partisan composition and electoral system have produced consistent Democratic holds, with no competitive Republican candidate emerging to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require both Democratic nominees to be removed from the ballot or disqualified through legal or procedural means before Election Day, an outcome with no current basis in filings or court records.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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