California's 11th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats at 64% compared to just 7% Republican. The June 2026 jungle primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical results. This setup has produced the current trader consensus, reflecting the limited path for any Republican nominee in a San Francisco-area constituency. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a national political shift strong enough to overcome the registration and primary dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
$21,763 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 वॉल्यूम
97%
Republican Party
$6,783 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats at 64% compared to just 7% Republican. The June 2026 jungle primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical results. This setup has produced the current trader consensus, reflecting the limited path for any Republican nominee in a San Francisco-area constituency. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a national political shift strong enough to overcome the registration and primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,763समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats at 64% compared to just 7% Republican. The June 2026 jungle primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical results. This setup has produced the current trader consensus, reflecting the limited path for any Republican nominee in a San Francisco-area constituency. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a national political shift strong enough to overcome the registration and primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,763समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with voter registration heavily favoring Democrats at 64% compared to just 7% Republican. The June 2026 jungle primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical results. This setup has produced the current trader consensus, reflecting the limited path for any Republican nominee in a San Francisco-area constituency. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a national political shift strong enough to overcome the registration and primary dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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