California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration and a long history of Democratic control. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, but the June 2026 nonpartisan primary produced two Democratic general-election candidates—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—while no Republican advanced competitively. With the November 3 general election effectively a Democratic intra-party contest in a district where Republicans hold minimal registration and historical support, trader pricing reflects the structural barriers to any Republican victory. Only an unforeseen event such as both Democratic nominees withdrawing or a dramatic shift in district boundaries or eligibility rules could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$10,350 वॉल्यूम
$10,350 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$10,350 वॉल्यूम
$10,350 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,443 वॉल्यूम
97%
Republican Party
$3,907 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration and a long history of Democratic control. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, but the June 2026 nonpartisan primary produced two Democratic general-election candidates—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—while no Republican advanced competitively. With the November 3 general election effectively a Democratic intra-party contest in a district where Republicans hold minimal registration and historical support, trader pricing reflects the structural barriers to any Republican victory. Only an unforeseen event such as both Democratic nominees withdrawing or a dramatic shift in district boundaries or eligibility rules could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,350समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration and a long history of Democratic control. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, but the June 2026 nonpartisan primary produced two Democratic general-election candidates—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—while no Republican advanced competitively. With the November 3 general election effectively a Democratic intra-party contest in a district where Republicans hold minimal registration and historical support, trader pricing reflects the structural barriers to any Republican victory. Only an unforeseen event such as both Democratic nominees withdrawing or a dramatic shift in district boundaries or eligibility rules could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,350समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration and a long history of Democratic control. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, but the June 2026 nonpartisan primary produced two Democratic general-election candidates—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—while no Republican advanced competitively. With the November 3 general election effectively a Democratic intra-party contest in a district where Republicans hold minimal registration and historical support, trader pricing reflects the structural barriers to any Republican victory. Only an unforeseen event such as both Democratic nominees withdrawing or a dramatic shift in district boundaries or eligibility rules could realistically alter the outcome before certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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