The Michigan 11th district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent election results and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a Senate bid opened the seat, yet Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 4 primary with nearly 50% of the vote. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces structural challenges in this Oakland County-centered district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. Late developments such as national midterm swings, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow margins, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$71,074 वॉल्यूम
$71,074 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$71,074 वॉल्यूम
$71,074 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$49,052 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$22,022 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 11th district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent election results and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a Senate bid opened the seat, yet Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 4 primary with nearly 50% of the vote. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces structural challenges in this Oakland County-centered district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. Late developments such as national midterm swings, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow margins, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71,074समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 11th district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent election results and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a Senate bid opened the seat, yet Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 4 primary with nearly 50% of the vote. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces structural challenges in this Oakland County-centered district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. Late developments such as national midterm swings, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow margins, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$71,074समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 11th district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent election results and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a Senate bid opened the seat, yet Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 4 primary with nearly 50% of the vote. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy's mayor, faces structural challenges in this Oakland County-centered district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. Late developments such as national midterm swings, turnout surges among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow margins, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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