Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for Michigan's open U.S. Senate race has left MI-11—an open seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+9 partisan voting index—as a strong hold for Democrats, reflected in trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability. Recent Democratic primary fundraising dominance, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ($510,000 cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356,000), dwarfs Republican totals under $30,000 combined, reinforcing the district's history of double-digit Democratic victories (58%-40% in 2024, 61%-39% in 2022). With filing deadline April 21 and primaries August 4, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, low turnout, or national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$35,998 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$4,529 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for Michigan's open U.S. Senate race has left MI-11—an open seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+9 partisan voting index—as a strong hold for Democrats, reflected in trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability. Recent Democratic primary fundraising dominance, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ($510,000 cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356,000), dwarfs Republican totals under $30,000 combined, reinforcing the district's history of double-digit Democratic victories (58%-40% in 2024, 61%-39% in 2022). With filing deadline April 21 and primaries August 4, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, low turnout, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,526समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for Michigan's open U.S. Senate race has left MI-11—an open seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+9 partisan voting index—as a strong hold for Democrats, reflected in trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability. Recent Democratic primary fundraising dominance, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ($510,000 cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356,000), dwarfs Republican totals under $30,000 combined, reinforcing the district's history of double-digit Democratic victories (58%-40% in 2024, 61%-39% in 2022). With filing deadline April 21 and primaries August 4, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, low turnout, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$40,526समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' departure for Michigan's open U.S. Senate race has left MI-11—an open seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+9 partisan voting index—as a strong hold for Democrats, reflected in trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability. Recent Democratic primary fundraising dominance, led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ($510,000 cash on hand) and Don Ufford ($356,000), dwarfs Republican totals under $30,000 combined, reinforcing the district's history of double-digit Democratic victories (58%-40% in 2024, 61%-39% in 2022). With filing deadline April 21 and primaries August 4, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, low turnout, or national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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