The open MI-10 House seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, has drawn trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% implied probability, diverging from forecasters' Lean Republican or Toss-up ratings amid a fragmented GOP primary field. Recent April quarterly filings highlight Democratic fundraising strength, with Eric Chung raising over $1.1 million and holding $716,000 cash on hand, surpassing rivals like Tim Greimel and Christina Hines while outpacing top Republicans Robert Lulgjuraj ($765,000 cash) and Michael Bouchard ($520,000). A mid-March Strategic National GOP primary poll showed Bouchard at 29% amid 59% undecided/other, underscoring an uneven field. January general matchup polls depicted tight races, but superior Dem resources and national midterm dynamics boost their edge ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
32%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$627 वॉल्यूम
68%
Republican Party
$206 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-10 House seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, has drawn trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% implied probability, diverging from forecasters' Lean Republican or Toss-up ratings amid a fragmented GOP primary field. Recent April quarterly filings highlight Democratic fundraising strength, with Eric Chung raising over $1.1 million and holding $716,000 cash on hand, surpassing rivals like Tim Greimel and Christina Hines while outpacing top Republicans Robert Lulgjuraj ($765,000 cash) and Michael Bouchard ($520,000). A mid-March Strategic National GOP primary poll showed Bouchard at 29% amid 59% undecided/other, underscoring an uneven field. January general matchup polls depicted tight races, but superior Dem resources and national midterm dynamics boost their edge ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$833समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-10 House seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, has drawn trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% implied probability, diverging from forecasters' Lean Republican or Toss-up ratings amid a fragmented GOP primary field. Recent April quarterly filings highlight Democratic fundraising strength, with Eric Chung raising over $1.1 million and holding $716,000 cash on hand, surpassing rivals like Tim Greimel and Christina Hines while outpacing top Republicans Robert Lulgjuraj ($765,000 cash) and Michael Bouchard ($520,000). A mid-March Strategic National GOP primary poll showed Bouchard at 29% amid 59% undecided/other, underscoring an uneven field. January general matchup polls depicted tight races, but superior Dem resources and national midterm dynamics boost their edge ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$833समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MI-10 House seat, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, has drawn trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% implied probability, diverging from forecasters' Lean Republican or Toss-up ratings amid a fragmented GOP primary field. Recent April quarterly filings highlight Democratic fundraising strength, with Eric Chung raising over $1.1 million and holding $716,000 cash on hand, surpassing rivals like Tim Greimel and Christina Hines while outpacing top Republicans Robert Lulgjuraj ($765,000 cash) and Michael Bouchard ($520,000). A mid-March Strategic National GOP primary poll showed Bouchard at 29% amid 59% undecided/other, underscoring an uneven field. January general matchup polls depicted tight races, but superior Dem resources and national midterm dynamics boost their edge ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न