Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic California's 16th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the Silicon Valley seat's D+26 partisan voting index and his 58% 2024 general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low under the top-two primary system. Liccardo holds a massive fundraising edge with nearly $3 million raised and $2 million cash on hand as of early 2026, dwarfing nominal Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule, who report minimal support. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others unchanged at Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a primary upset pairing Liccardo against a well-funded Republican, personal scandal, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$43,083 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$20,712 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic California's 16th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the Silicon Valley seat's D+26 partisan voting index and his 58% 2024 general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low under the top-two primary system. Liccardo holds a massive fundraising edge with nearly $3 million raised and $2 million cash on hand as of early 2026, dwarfing nominal Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule, who report minimal support. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others unchanged at Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a primary upset pairing Liccardo against a well-funded Republican, personal scandal, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,795समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic California's 16th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the Silicon Valley seat's D+26 partisan voting index and his 58% 2024 general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low under the top-two primary system. Liccardo holds a massive fundraising edge with nearly $3 million raised and $2 million cash on hand as of early 2026, dwarfing nominal Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule, who report minimal support. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others unchanged at Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a primary upset pairing Liccardo against a well-funded Republican, personal scandal, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$63,795समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's strong reelection bid in solidly Democratic California's 16th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the Silicon Valley seat's D+26 partisan voting index and his 58% 2024 general election win over fellow Democrat Evan Low under the top-two primary system. Liccardo holds a massive fundraising edge with nearly $3 million raised and $2 million cash on hand as of early 2026, dwarfing nominal Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule, who report minimal support. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others unchanged at Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Realistic challenges include a primary upset pairing Liccardo against a well-funded Republican, personal scandal, or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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