New York's 12th congressional district carries a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, anchoring the Democratic nominee's commanding position in the November 2026 general election. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assembly member Micah Lasher, consolidating party support in this Manhattan-based seat previously held by longtime incumbent Jerrold Nadler. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 98.8% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, candidate withdrawal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$32,659 वॉल्यूम
$32,659 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
99%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
<1%
$32,659 वॉल्यूम
$32,659 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$17,205 वॉल्यूम
99%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$15,454 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 12th congressional district carries a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, anchoring the Democratic nominee's commanding position in the November 2026 general election. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assembly member Micah Lasher, consolidating party support in this Manhattan-based seat previously held by longtime incumbent Jerrold Nadler. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 98.8% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, candidate withdrawal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,659समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 12th congressional district carries a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, anchoring the Democratic nominee's commanding position in the November 2026 general election. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assembly member Micah Lasher, consolidating party support in this Manhattan-based seat previously held by longtime incumbent Jerrold Nadler. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 98.8% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, candidate withdrawal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,659समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 12th congressional district carries a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, anchoring the Democratic nominee's commanding position in the November 2026 general election. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assembly member Micah Lasher, consolidating party support in this Manhattan-based seat previously held by longtime incumbent Jerrold Nadler. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 98.8% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unprecedented scandal, candidate withdrawal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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