Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability to retain Texas's 12th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+11) and incumbent Craig Goldman's commanding 2024 victory margin of 63.5%-36.5%. Goldman's unopposed win in the March 3 Republican primary underscores party unity and his incumbency advantage in a seat that supported Donald Trump by 24 points in 2024. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination with 59.8% in a low-turnout primary, but faces steep barriers amid universal Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts have occurred since primaries, with Goldman holding superior cash-on-hand.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,512 वॉल्यूम
83%
Democratic Party
$1,556 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability to retain Texas's 12th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+11) and incumbent Craig Goldman's commanding 2024 victory margin of 63.5%-36.5%. Goldman's unopposed win in the March 3 Republican primary underscores party unity and his incumbency advantage in a seat that supported Donald Trump by 24 points in 2024. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination with 59.8% in a low-turnout primary, but faces steep barriers amid universal Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts have occurred since primaries, with Goldman holding superior cash-on-hand.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,068समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability to retain Texas's 12th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+11) and incumbent Craig Goldman's commanding 2024 victory margin of 63.5%-36.5%. Goldman's unopposed win in the March 3 Republican primary underscores party unity and his incumbency advantage in a seat that supported Donald Trump by 24 points in 2024. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination with 59.8% in a low-turnout primary, but faces steep barriers amid universal Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts have occurred since primaries, with Goldman holding superior cash-on-hand.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$7,068समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability to retain Texas's 12th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+11) and incumbent Craig Goldman's commanding 2024 victory margin of 63.5%-36.5%. Goldman's unopposed win in the March 3 Republican primary underscores party unity and his incumbency advantage in a seat that supported Donald Trump by 24 points in 2024. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured her nomination with 59.8% in a low-turnout primary, but faces steep barriers amid universal Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major shifts have occurred since primaries, with Goldman holding superior cash-on-hand.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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