The TX-12 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points for the GOP, underpins the 81% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced easily through the March 3 Republican primary, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's nomination; both candidates now face off in a seat rated Solid Republican by established forecasters. Limited district-specific polling and fundraising data reinforce this positioning, with no major late developments or competitive shifts reported since primaries concluded. The 15% Democratic probability captures residual uncertainty tied to turnout variability and national midterm dynamics, though structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index continue to favor the Republican outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
15%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,864 वॉल्यूम
81%
Democratic Party
$2,241 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-12 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points for the GOP, underpins the 81% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced easily through the March 3 Republican primary, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's nomination; both candidates now face off in a seat rated Solid Republican by established forecasters. Limited district-specific polling and fundraising data reinforce this positioning, with no major late developments or competitive shifts reported since primaries concluded. The 15% Democratic probability captures residual uncertainty tied to turnout variability and national midterm dynamics, though structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index continue to favor the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,105समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-12 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points for the GOP, underpins the 81% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced easily through the March 3 Republican primary, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's nomination; both candidates now face off in a seat rated Solid Republican by established forecasters. Limited district-specific polling and fundraising data reinforce this positioning, with no major late developments or competitive shifts reported since primaries concluded. The 15% Democratic probability captures residual uncertainty tied to turnout variability and national midterm dynamics, though structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index continue to favor the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,105समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-12 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points for the GOP, underpins the 81% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced easily through the March 3 Republican primary, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's nomination; both candidates now face off in a seat rated Solid Republican by established forecasters. Limited district-specific polling and fundraising data reinforce this positioning, with no major late developments or competitive shifts reported since primaries concluded. The 15% Democratic probability captures residual uncertainty tied to turnout variability and national midterm dynamics, though structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index continue to favor the Republican outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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