Vermont’s at-large House district has favored Democrats for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Gerald Malloy, who won his party’s primary the same day, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus prices reflect these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate an upset. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to narrow the gap meaningfully before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाVT - AL हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
VT - AL हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$27,898 वॉल्यूम
$27,898 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$27,898 वॉल्यूम
$27,898 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$19,248 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House district has favored Democrats for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Gerald Malloy, who won his party’s primary the same day, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus prices reflect these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate an upset. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to narrow the gap meaningfully before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,898समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House district has favored Democrats for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Gerald Malloy, who won his party’s primary the same day, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus prices reflect these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate an upset. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to narrow the gap meaningfully before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,898समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large House district has favored Democrats for decades, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, won reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Gerald Malloy, who won his party’s primary the same day, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely secure large margins. Trader consensus prices reflect these entrenched partisan patterns and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate an upset. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to narrow the gap meaningfully before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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