Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan history—marked by her 69% victory margin in 2024—and overwhelming GOP control of state government. Recent candidate filings by April 6 solidified a contested GOP primary on June 9 featuring Fedorchak (Trump-endorsed), Alex Balazs (NDGOP-backed), and Ferris Broxton, while Democrats consolidated behind Trygve Hammer after rival Vern Thompson's March 20 withdrawal. Absent polls, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid/Safe Republican. Upsets could arise from a divisive primary outcome, GOP scandal, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this midterm cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाND - AL हाउस चुनाव विजेता
ND - AL हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$24,257 वॉल्यूम
$24,257 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
7%
$24,257 वॉल्यूम
$24,257 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,499 वॉल्यूम
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,757 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan history—marked by her 69% victory margin in 2024—and overwhelming GOP control of state government. Recent candidate filings by April 6 solidified a contested GOP primary on June 9 featuring Fedorchak (Trump-endorsed), Alex Balazs (NDGOP-backed), and Ferris Broxton, while Democrats consolidated behind Trygve Hammer after rival Vern Thompson's March 20 withdrawal. Absent polls, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid/Safe Republican. Upsets could arise from a divisive primary outcome, GOP scandal, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,257समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan history—marked by her 69% victory margin in 2024—and overwhelming GOP control of state government. Recent candidate filings by April 6 solidified a contested GOP primary on June 9 featuring Fedorchak (Trump-endorsed), Alex Balazs (NDGOP-backed), and Ferris Broxton, while Democrats consolidated behind Trygve Hammer after rival Vern Thompson's March 20 withdrawal. Absent polls, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid/Safe Republican. Upsets could arise from a divisive primary outcome, GOP scandal, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,257समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan history—marked by her 69% victory margin in 2024—and overwhelming GOP control of state government. Recent candidate filings by April 6 solidified a contested GOP primary on June 9 featuring Fedorchak (Trump-endorsed), Alex Balazs (NDGOP-backed), and Ferris Broxton, while Democrats consolidated behind Trygve Hammer after rival Vern Thompson's March 20 withdrawal. Absent polls, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball deem it Solid/Safe Republican. Upsets could arise from a divisive primary outcome, GOP scandal, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this midterm cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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