California's 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa announced his retirement. Mid-decade redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted the map toward Democrats, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Jim Desmond, a former county supervisor, in the November 3 general election. Voter registration favors Democrats, and the district's performance in recent cycles aligns with a modest structural edge for the Democratic nominee. These factors underpin trader pricing that places the Democratic outcome well ahead of the Republican alternative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$13,780 वॉल्यूम
$13,780 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
$13,780 वॉल्यूम
$13,780 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,697 वॉल्यूम
87%
Republican Party
$7,083 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa announced his retirement. Mid-decade redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted the map toward Democrats, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Jim Desmond, a former county supervisor, in the November 3 general election. Voter registration favors Democrats, and the district's performance in recent cycles aligns with a modest structural edge for the Democratic nominee. These factors underpin trader pricing that places the Democratic outcome well ahead of the Republican alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,780समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa announced his retirement. Mid-decade redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted the map toward Democrats, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Jim Desmond, a former county supervisor, in the November 3 general election. Voter registration favors Democrats, and the district's performance in recent cycles aligns with a modest structural edge for the Democratic nominee. These factors underpin trader pricing that places the Democratic outcome well ahead of the Republican alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,780समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa announced his retirement. Mid-decade redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted the map toward Democrats, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic across major forecasters. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary and now faces Republican Jim Desmond, a former county supervisor, in the November 3 general election. Voter registration favors Democrats, and the district's performance in recent cycles aligns with a modest structural edge for the Democratic nominee. These factors underpin trader pricing that places the Democratic outcome well ahead of the Republican alternative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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