Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 race after advancing comfortably through the June 2026 primary with 45 percent of the vote in the Orange County district. The seat, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in the prior cycle, carries a Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify it as likely Democratic. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Min’s incumbency advantage and the limited Republican primary showing by Jenny Rae Le Roux. A significant shift would require unusual turnout swings, late-breaking developments affecting the general-election campaign, or broader national political changes between now and November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$12,112 वॉल्यूम
$12,112 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,112 वॉल्यूम
$12,112 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,861 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$10,251 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 race after advancing comfortably through the June 2026 primary with 45 percent of the vote in the Orange County district. The seat, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in the prior cycle, carries a Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify it as likely Democratic. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Min’s incumbency advantage and the limited Republican primary showing by Jenny Rae Le Roux. A significant shift would require unusual turnout swings, late-breaking developments affecting the general-election campaign, or broader national political changes between now and November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,112समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 race after advancing comfortably through the June 2026 primary with 45 percent of the vote in the Orange County district. The seat, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in the prior cycle, carries a Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify it as likely Democratic. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Min’s incumbency advantage and the limited Republican primary showing by Jenny Rae Le Roux. A significant shift would require unusual turnout swings, late-breaking developments affecting the general-election campaign, or broader national political changes between now and November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,112समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 race after advancing comfortably through the June 2026 primary with 45 percent of the vote in the Orange County district. The seat, which supported Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in the prior cycle, carries a Democratic lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify it as likely Democratic. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Min’s incumbency advantage and the limited Republican primary showing by Jenny Rae Le Roux. A significant shift would require unusual turnout swings, late-breaking developments affecting the general-election campaign, or broader national political changes between now and November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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