Dave Min’s decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing comfortably alongside Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux, has reinforced the Democratic Party’s commanding position in California’s 47th congressional district. The seat’s D+6 partisan voting index and recent Democratic performance, including Min’s 2024 general-election win, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, limiting Republican pathways absent major shifts. Potential disruptors remain limited to late-cycle developments such as unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials that could narrow margins in this Orange County-based district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,706 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$6,700 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min’s decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing comfortably alongside Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux, has reinforced the Democratic Party’s commanding position in California’s 47th congressional district. The seat’s D+6 partisan voting index and recent Democratic performance, including Min’s 2024 general-election win, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, limiting Republican pathways absent major shifts. Potential disruptors remain limited to late-cycle developments such as unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials that could narrow margins in this Orange County-based district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,407समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min’s decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing comfortably alongside Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux, has reinforced the Democratic Party’s commanding position in California’s 47th congressional district. The seat’s D+6 partisan voting index and recent Democratic performance, including Min’s 2024 general-election win, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, limiting Republican pathways absent major shifts. Potential disruptors remain limited to late-cycle developments such as unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials that could narrow margins in this Orange County-based district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,407समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dave Min’s decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing comfortably alongside Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux, has reinforced the Democratic Party’s commanding position in California’s 47th congressional district. The seat’s D+6 partisan voting index and recent Democratic performance, including Min’s 2024 general-election win, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, limiting Republican pathways absent major shifts. Potential disruptors remain limited to late-cycle developments such as unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials that could narrow margins in this Orange County-based district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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