Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding lead in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record as a longtime Orange County representative. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid a split Democratic field. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Correa's 63 percent margin in 2024. Pan, a UC Irvine professor and repeat challenger, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks recent polling momentum. While late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, district demographics, and resource advantages underpins trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -46 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -46 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$24,514 वॉल्यूम
$24,514 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
लू कोरेआ (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
डेविड पैन (रिपब्लिकन)
6%
$24,514 वॉल्यूम
$24,514 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
लू कोरेआ (डेमोक्रेट)
$4,707 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेविड पैन (रिपब्लिकन)
$19,806 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding lead in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record as a longtime Orange County representative. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid a split Democratic field. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Correa's 63 percent margin in 2024. Pan, a UC Irvine professor and repeat challenger, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks recent polling momentum. While late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, district demographics, and resource advantages underpins trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,514समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding lead in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record as a longtime Orange County representative. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid a split Democratic field. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Correa's 63 percent margin in 2024. Pan, a UC Irvine professor and repeat challenger, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks recent polling momentum. While late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, district demographics, and resource advantages underpins trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,514समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding lead in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record as a longtime Orange County representative. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid a split Democratic field. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Correa's 63 percent margin in 2024. Pan, a UC Irvine professor and repeat challenger, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks recent polling momentum. While late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, district demographics, and resource advantages underpins trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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