Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Utah's 1st congressional district to encompass a compact Salt Lake City area, producing a Democratic-leaning partisan voting index and transforming the seat from Republican-held to a structural advantage for Democrats. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the general election. The market's overwhelming preference for the Democratic Party aligns with this redrawn map and historical voting patterns in the updated district. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though the underlying demographic and geographic factors make a reversal unlikely absent extraordinary circumstances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
UT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$36,350 वॉल्यूम
$36,350 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$36,350 वॉल्यूम
$36,350 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$5,217 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$31,134 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Utah's 1st congressional district to encompass a compact Salt Lake City area, producing a Democratic-leaning partisan voting index and transforming the seat from Republican-held to a structural advantage for Democrats. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the general election. The market's overwhelming preference for the Democratic Party aligns with this redrawn map and historical voting patterns in the updated district. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though the underlying demographic and geographic factors make a reversal unlikely absent extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,350समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Utah's 1st congressional district to encompass a compact Salt Lake City area, producing a Democratic-leaning partisan voting index and transforming the seat from Republican-held to a structural advantage for Democrats. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the general election. The market's overwhelming preference for the Democratic Party aligns with this redrawn map and historical voting patterns in the updated district. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though the underlying demographic and geographic factors make a reversal unlikely absent extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,350समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after the 2020 census shifted Utah's 1st congressional district to encompass a compact Salt Lake City area, producing a Democratic-leaning partisan voting index and transforming the seat from Republican-held to a structural advantage for Democrats. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the general election. The market's overwhelming preference for the Democratic Party aligns with this redrawn map and historical voting patterns in the updated district. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually low turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though the underlying demographic and geographic factors make a reversal unlikely absent extraordinary circumstances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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