Due to court-ordered redistricting, Utah's 1st congressional district now encompasses most of Salt Lake County and leans heavily Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by 24 points in 2024. The seat is open after incumbent Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district, leaving Republican nominee Riley Owen facing a structurally unfavorable map. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 91% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's transformed partisan baseline and historical patterns for similarly shifted seats. The Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, features frontrunner Ben McAdams and will determine the general-election candidate. While the outcome appears settled, late-cycle events such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a major scandal could still alter the result before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
UT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$27,917 वॉल्यूम
$27,917 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
91%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$27,917 वॉल्यूम
$27,917 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$2,106 वॉल्यूम
91%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$25,811 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Due to court-ordered redistricting, Utah's 1st congressional district now encompasses most of Salt Lake County and leans heavily Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by 24 points in 2024. The seat is open after incumbent Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district, leaving Republican nominee Riley Owen facing a structurally unfavorable map. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 91% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's transformed partisan baseline and historical patterns for similarly shifted seats. The Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, features frontrunner Ben McAdams and will determine the general-election candidate. While the outcome appears settled, late-cycle events such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a major scandal could still alter the result before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,917समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Due to court-ordered redistricting, Utah's 1st congressional district now encompasses most of Salt Lake County and leans heavily Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by 24 points in 2024. The seat is open after incumbent Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district, leaving Republican nominee Riley Owen facing a structurally unfavorable map. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 91% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's transformed partisan baseline and historical patterns for similarly shifted seats. The Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, features frontrunner Ben McAdams and will determine the general-election candidate. While the outcome appears settled, late-cycle events such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a major scandal could still alter the result before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,917समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Due to court-ordered redistricting, Utah's 1st congressional district now encompasses most of Salt Lake County and leans heavily Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by 24 points in 2024. The seat is open after incumbent Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district, leaving Republican nominee Riley Owen facing a structurally unfavorable map. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 91% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's transformed partisan baseline and historical patterns for similarly shifted seats. The Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, features frontrunner Ben McAdams and will determine the general-election candidate. While the outcome appears settled, late-cycle events such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a major scandal could still alter the result before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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