Incumbent Democrat Herb Conaway holds a strong position in New Jersey's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district, covering much of Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth, shows a Democratic registration edge and delivered the seat to Conaway in the prior cycle. He faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a June 2026 contest against two other candidates. Cook Political Report ratings align with the current trader consensus on the race's fundamentals. Late shifts could still arise from national midterm dynamics, turnout variations among unaffiliated voters, or unexpected campaign developments in the remaining months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
$26,418 वॉल्यूम
$26,418 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$26,418 वॉल्यूम
$26,418 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,895 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$13,523 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Herb Conaway holds a strong position in New Jersey's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district, covering much of Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth, shows a Democratic registration edge and delivered the seat to Conaway in the prior cycle. He faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a June 2026 contest against two other candidates. Cook Political Report ratings align with the current trader consensus on the race's fundamentals. Late shifts could still arise from national midterm dynamics, turnout variations among unaffiliated voters, or unexpected campaign developments in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,418समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Herb Conaway holds a strong position in New Jersey's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district, covering much of Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth, shows a Democratic registration edge and delivered the seat to Conaway in the prior cycle. He faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a June 2026 contest against two other candidates. Cook Political Report ratings align with the current trader consensus on the race's fundamentals. Late shifts could still arise from national midterm dynamics, turnout variations among unaffiliated voters, or unexpected campaign developments in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,418समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Herb Conaway holds a strong position in New Jersey's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district, covering much of Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth, shows a Democratic registration edge and delivered the seat to Conaway in the prior cycle. He faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a June 2026 contest against two other candidates. Cook Political Report ratings align with the current trader consensus on the race's fundamentals. Late shifts could still arise from national midterm dynamics, turnout variations among unaffiliated voters, or unexpected campaign developments in the remaining months.
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