Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr., seeking a 19th term in solidly Democratic NJ-06 (Cook PVI D+5), dominates trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability following the March 23 filing deadline and April 2 certification of primary nominees, which confirmed challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu in the June 2 Democratic primary—neither posing serious threats given Pallone's $3.4 million cash-on-hand and 84% 2024 primary win—and lone Republican Hillary Herzig, a low-profile former USCIS worker, in the GOP contest. Historical general election margins of 15-22 points since 2020 underscore the district's reliability for Democrats, with no polling yet available. GOP odds at 9.5% reflect slim upset potential from a national Republican wave, Pallone scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
10%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,401 वॉल्यूम
91%
Republican Party
$1,330 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr., seeking a 19th term in solidly Democratic NJ-06 (Cook PVI D+5), dominates trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability following the March 23 filing deadline and April 2 certification of primary nominees, which confirmed challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu in the June 2 Democratic primary—neither posing serious threats given Pallone's $3.4 million cash-on-hand and 84% 2024 primary win—and lone Republican Hillary Herzig, a low-profile former USCIS worker, in the GOP contest. Historical general election margins of 15-22 points since 2020 underscore the district's reliability for Democrats, with no polling yet available. GOP odds at 9.5% reflect slim upset potential from a national Republican wave, Pallone scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,732समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr., seeking a 19th term in solidly Democratic NJ-06 (Cook PVI D+5), dominates trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability following the March 23 filing deadline and April 2 certification of primary nominees, which confirmed challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu in the June 2 Democratic primary—neither posing serious threats given Pallone's $3.4 million cash-on-hand and 84% 2024 primary win—and lone Republican Hillary Herzig, a low-profile former USCIS worker, in the GOP contest. Historical general election margins of 15-22 points since 2020 underscore the district's reliability for Democrats, with no polling yet available. GOP odds at 9.5% reflect slim upset potential from a national Republican wave, Pallone scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,732समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr., seeking a 19th term in solidly Democratic NJ-06 (Cook PVI D+5), dominates trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability following the March 23 filing deadline and April 2 certification of primary nominees, which confirmed challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu in the June 2 Democratic primary—neither posing serious threats given Pallone's $3.4 million cash-on-hand and 84% 2024 primary win—and lone Republican Hillary Herzig, a low-profile former USCIS worker, in the GOP contest. Historical general election margins of 15-22 points since 2020 underscore the district's reliability for Democrats, with no polling yet available. GOP odds at 9.5% reflect slim upset potential from a national Republican wave, Pallone scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
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