Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$12,918 वॉल्यूम
$12,918 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,918 वॉल्यूम
$12,918 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,381 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$5,538 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,918समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,918समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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