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icon for VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

icon for VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

डॉन बेयर 97.4%

मो सैफेल्दैन 1.4%

लोरेना थॉर्न ब्रूनर <1%

माइकल डफिन <1%

Polymarket
नया

डॉन बेयर 97.4%

मो सैफेल्दैन 1.4%

लोरेना थॉर्न ब्रूनर <1%

माइकल डफिन <1%

Polymarket
नया
icon for डॉन बेयर

डॉन बेयर

$985 वॉल्यूम

97%

icon for मो सैफेल्दैन

मो सैफेल्दैन

$396 वॉल्यूम

1%

icon for लोरेना थॉर्न ब्रूनर

लोरेना थॉर्न ब्रूनर

$365 वॉल्यूम

1%

icon for माइकल डफिन

माइकल डफिन

$408 वॉल्यूम

<1%

icon for एडम डुनीगन

एडम डुनीगन

$418 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Don Beyer holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 8th Congressional District due to his status as six-term incumbent, substantial fundraising edge—roughly five times the combined total of challengers—and established name recognition across Arlington, Alexandria, and eastern Fairfax County. Early voting is underway ahead of the contest against Lorena Thorne Bruner, Michael Duffin, Adam Dunigan, and Mo Seifeldein, who have focused on federal workforce protections, campaign finance reform, and generational turnover amid recent government layoffs. Political observers note limited protest-vote potential but view an upset as unlikely given Beyer’s resource and institutional advantages in this deep-blue district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high turnout among dissatisfied federal employees or a late consolidation of challenger support, though current trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to overcoming the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$2,573
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Don Beyer holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 8th Congressional District due to his status as six-term incumbent, substantial fundraising edge—roughly five times the combined total of challengers—and established name recognition across Arlington, Alexandria, and eastern Fairfax County. Early voting is underway ahead of the contest against Lorena Thorne Bruner, Michael Duffin, Adam Dunigan, and Mo Seifeldein, who have focused on federal workforce protections, campaign finance reform, and generational turnover amid recent government layoffs. Political observers note limited protest-vote potential but view an upset as unlikely given Beyer’s resource and institutional advantages in this deep-blue district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high turnout among dissatisfied federal employees or a late consolidation of challenger support, though current trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to overcoming the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$2,573
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, डॉन बेयर 97% (97¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद मो सैफेल्दैन 1% पर है।

"VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Jul 9, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "डॉन बेयर" 97% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "मो सैफेल्दैन" 1% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"VA -08 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।