Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71% to win Ohio's 15th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook Political Report) and R+5 Cook PVI under the new October 2025 map, where Trump won by 10 points last year. Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured easy reelection with 56.5% in 2024 and now faces no primary opposition after the Supreme Court on April 10 declined to reinstate challenger Samuel Ronan, disqualified for prior Democratic affiliations. Democrats' May 5 primary pits former state Rep. Adam Miller against Don Leonard, but Carey's $1.5 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Miller's $415,000, reinforcing GOP incumbency advantages ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$532 वॉल्यूम
71%
Democratic Party
$2,215 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71% to win Ohio's 15th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook Political Report) and R+5 Cook PVI under the new October 2025 map, where Trump won by 10 points last year. Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured easy reelection with 56.5% in 2024 and now faces no primary opposition after the Supreme Court on April 10 declined to reinstate challenger Samuel Ronan, disqualified for prior Democratic affiliations. Democrats' May 5 primary pits former state Rep. Adam Miller against Don Leonard, but Carey's $1.5 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Miller's $415,000, reinforcing GOP incumbency advantages ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,746समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71% to win Ohio's 15th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook Political Report) and R+5 Cook PVI under the new October 2025 map, where Trump won by 10 points last year. Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured easy reelection with 56.5% in 2024 and now faces no primary opposition after the Supreme Court on April 10 declined to reinstate challenger Samuel Ronan, disqualified for prior Democratic affiliations. Democrats' May 5 primary pits former state Rep. Adam Miller against Don Leonard, but Carey's $1.5 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Miller's $415,000, reinforcing GOP incumbency advantages ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,746समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71% to win Ohio's 15th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (Cook Political Report) and R+5 Cook PVI under the new October 2025 map, where Trump won by 10 points last year. Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured easy reelection with 56.5% in 2024 and now faces no primary opposition after the Supreme Court on April 10 declined to reinstate challenger Samuel Ronan, disqualified for prior Democratic affiliations. Democrats' May 5 primary pits former state Rep. Adam Miller against Don Leonard, but Carey's $1.5 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Miller's $415,000, reinforcing GOP incumbency advantages ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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