**The FL-07 Republican primary on August 18 features incumbent Cory Mills facing a competitive challenge from Ryan Elijah, with Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich also on the ballot.** Trader positioning around “Other” at 50% and clustered 10–25% margins for either Mills or Elijah reflects uncertainty over the final spread in a race with significant undecided voters. Recent polling indicates many Republican primary voters remain uncommitted days before the contest, while endorsements such as Paul Renner’s for Elijah have bolstered the challenger’s coalition. Fundraising totals favor Mills, yet the race’s proximity to election day and lack of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities spread across narrow-to-moderate victory ranges rather than a blowout. Historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries with multiple candidates often produce fragmented results, reinforcing the market’s emphasis on close or multi-candidate outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामिल्स 15–20% 31%
मिल्स 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 10–15% 27%
एलिय्याह <5% 27%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
मिल्स 25%+
20%
मिल्स 20–25%
27%
मिल्स 15–20%
31%
मिल्स 10–15%
27%
मिल्स 5–10%
27%
मिल्स <5%
27%
एलिय्याह <5%
27%
एलिय्याह 5–10%
26%
एलिजा 10–15%
27%
एलिजा 15–20%
27%
एलिय्याह 20–25%
27%
एलिय्याह 25%+
22%
मिल्स 15–20% 31%
मिल्स 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 10–15% 27%
एलिय्याह <5% 27%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
मिल्स 25%+
$49 वॉल्यूम
20%
मिल्स 20–25%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
मिल्स 15–20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
मिल्स 10–15%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
मिल्स 5–10%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
मिल्स <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह 5–10%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
एलिजा 10–15%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिजा 15–20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह 20–25%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह 25%+
$57 वॉल्यूम
22%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**The FL-07 Republican primary on August 18 features incumbent Cory Mills facing a competitive challenge from Ryan Elijah, with Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich also on the ballot.** Trader positioning around “Other” at 50% and clustered 10–25% margins for either Mills or Elijah reflects uncertainty over the final spread in a race with significant undecided voters. Recent polling indicates many Republican primary voters remain uncommitted days before the contest, while endorsements such as Paul Renner’s for Elijah have bolstered the challenger’s coalition. Fundraising totals favor Mills, yet the race’s proximity to election day and lack of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities spread across narrow-to-moderate victory ranges rather than a blowout. Historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries with multiple candidates often produce fragmented results, reinforcing the market’s emphasis on close or multi-candidate outcomes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**The FL-07 Republican primary on August 18 features incumbent Cory Mills facing a competitive challenge from Ryan Elijah, with Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich also on the ballot.** Trader positioning around “Other” at 50% and clustered 10–25% margins for either Mills or Elijah reflects uncertainty over the final spread in a race with significant undecided voters. Recent polling indicates many Republican primary voters remain uncommitted days before the contest, while endorsements such as Paul Renner’s for Elijah have bolstered the challenger’s coalition. Fundraising totals favor Mills, yet the race’s proximity to election day and lack of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities spread across narrow-to-moderate victory ranges rather than a blowout. Historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries with multiple candidates often produce fragmented results, reinforcing the market’s emphasis on close or multi-candidate outcomes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The FL-07 Republican primary on August 18 features incumbent Cory Mills facing a competitive challenge from Ryan Elijah, with Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich also on the ballot.** Trader positioning around “Other” at 50% and clustered 10–25% margins for either Mills or Elijah reflects uncertainty over the final spread in a race with significant undecided voters. Recent polling indicates many Republican primary voters remain uncommitted days before the contest, while endorsements such as Paul Renner’s for Elijah have bolstered the challenger’s coalition. Fundraising totals favor Mills, yet the race’s proximity to election day and lack of decisive late momentum keep implied probabilities spread across narrow-to-moderate victory ranges rather than a blowout. Historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries with multiple candidates often produce fragmented results, reinforcing the market’s emphasis on close or multi-candidate outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न