Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -21 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -21 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$61,161 वॉल्यूम
$61,161 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
71%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
28%
$61,161 वॉल्यूम
$61,161 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$31,390 वॉल्यूम
71%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$29,770 वॉल्यूम
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61,161समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$61,161समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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