The open-seat NY-21 House race favors Republicans at 71.5% per trader consensus, driven by the district's R+10 partisan lean—ranking among the nation's most Republican—and "Solid/Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's December 2025 decision not to seek reelection left a GOP stronghold vulnerable but bolstered by frontrunner Anthony Constantino's $7.6 million self-funded war chest as of March fundraising reports, alongside state Republican Party endorsement for rival Robert Smullen. Democrats' fragmented primary field, led by Blake Gendebien's $4 million, trails historically, with Stefanik's 62-38% 2024 win underscoring GOP dominance. Post-April 6 filing deadline, candidates intensify efforts ahead of June 23 closed primaries, with no public general election polls shifting sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$12,709 वॉल्यूम
$12,709 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
25%
$12,709 वॉल्यूम
$12,709 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$8,237 वॉल्यूम
72%
Democratic Party
$4,472 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat NY-21 House race favors Republicans at 71.5% per trader consensus, driven by the district's R+10 partisan lean—ranking among the nation's most Republican—and "Solid/Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's December 2025 decision not to seek reelection left a GOP stronghold vulnerable but bolstered by frontrunner Anthony Constantino's $7.6 million self-funded war chest as of March fundraising reports, alongside state Republican Party endorsement for rival Robert Smullen. Democrats' fragmented primary field, led by Blake Gendebien's $4 million, trails historically, with Stefanik's 62-38% 2024 win underscoring GOP dominance. Post-April 6 filing deadline, candidates intensify efforts ahead of June 23 closed primaries, with no public general election polls shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,709समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat NY-21 House race favors Republicans at 71.5% per trader consensus, driven by the district's R+10 partisan lean—ranking among the nation's most Republican—and "Solid/Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's December 2025 decision not to seek reelection left a GOP stronghold vulnerable but bolstered by frontrunner Anthony Constantino's $7.6 million self-funded war chest as of March fundraising reports, alongside state Republican Party endorsement for rival Robert Smullen. Democrats' fragmented primary field, led by Blake Gendebien's $4 million, trails historically, with Stefanik's 62-38% 2024 win underscoring GOP dominance. Post-April 6 filing deadline, candidates intensify efforts ahead of June 23 closed primaries, with no public general election polls shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,709समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat NY-21 House race favors Republicans at 71.5% per trader consensus, driven by the district's R+10 partisan lean—ranking among the nation's most Republican—and "Solid/Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's December 2025 decision not to seek reelection left a GOP stronghold vulnerable but bolstered by frontrunner Anthony Constantino's $7.6 million self-funded war chest as of March fundraising reports, alongside state Republican Party endorsement for rival Robert Smullen. Democrats' fragmented primary field, led by Blake Gendebien's $4 million, trails historically, with Stefanik's 62-38% 2024 win underscoring GOP dominance. Post-April 6 filing deadline, candidates intensify efforts ahead of June 23 closed primaries, with no public general election polls shifting sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न