Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean advances unopposed after his party's August primary was canceled, while Democrats face an August 18 primary among LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson in Florida's 4th district. The seat's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Bean's 57% general-election share that year, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. No major recent developments have altered the district's structural Republican advantage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
$21,681 वॉल्यूम
$21,681 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
21%
$21,681 वॉल्यूम
$21,681 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$13,363 वॉल्यूम
80%
Democratic Party
$8,318 वॉल्यूम
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean advances unopposed after his party's August primary was canceled, while Democrats face an August 18 primary among LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson in Florida's 4th district. The seat's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Bean's 57% general-election share that year, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. No major recent developments have altered the district's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,681समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean advances unopposed after his party's August primary was canceled, while Democrats face an August 18 primary among LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson in Florida's 4th district. The seat's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Bean's 57% general-election share that year, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. No major recent developments have altered the district's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,681समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean advances unopposed after his party's August primary was canceled, while Democrats face an August 18 primary among LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson in Florida's 4th district. The seat's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Bean's 57% general-election share that year, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic fundraising and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. No major recent developments have altered the district's structural Republican advantage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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