Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun, setting up the November 3 general election matchup in the swing district. Perez benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the seat’s gradual Democratic shift despite its 2024 Trump margin, while Braun draws support from rural voters and Trump endorsements. Recent Emerson polling showed the candidates nearly tied, and forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee an 86% implied probability of victory, citing Perez’s structural advantages and the limited time remaining for Braun to close gaps before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$33,201 वॉल्यूम
$33,201 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
13%
$33,201 वॉल्यूम
$33,201 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$22,560 वॉल्यूम
86%
Republican Party
$10,642 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun, setting up the November 3 general election matchup in the swing district. Perez benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the seat’s gradual Democratic shift despite its 2024 Trump margin, while Braun draws support from rural voters and Trump endorsements. Recent Emerson polling showed the candidates nearly tied, and forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee an 86% implied probability of victory, citing Perez’s structural advantages and the limited time remaining for Braun to close gaps before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,201समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun, setting up the November 3 general election matchup in the swing district. Perez benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the seat’s gradual Democratic shift despite its 2024 Trump margin, while Braun draws support from rural voters and Trump endorsements. Recent Emerson polling showed the candidates nearly tied, and forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee an 86% implied probability of victory, citing Perez’s structural advantages and the limited time remaining for Braun to close gaps before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,201समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun, setting up the November 3 general election matchup in the swing district. Perez benefits from incumbency, established fundraising, and the seat’s gradual Democratic shift despite its 2024 Trump margin, while Braun draws support from rural voters and Trump endorsements. Recent Emerson polling showed the candidates nearly tied, and forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee an 86% implied probability of victory, citing Perez’s structural advantages and the limited time remaining for Braun to close gaps before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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