California's 6th congressional district, redrawn by recent state measures, now features a strong Democratic partisan lean with high voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera relocated to the neighboring 3rd district, while former Republican Kevin Kiley switched his affiliation to independent and entered the 6th. In the June 2 primary, Kiley led early returns, but multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Richard Pan positioned to advance alongside Kiley to the November general election. This setup, combined with historical patterns in similar California districts, has produced trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an independent Kiley victory or an unforeseen general-election shift, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given the district's composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$31,768 वॉल्यूम
$31,768 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$31,768 वॉल्यूम
$31,768 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,101 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$20,667 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn by recent state measures, now features a strong Democratic partisan lean with high voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera relocated to the neighboring 3rd district, while former Republican Kevin Kiley switched his affiliation to independent and entered the 6th. In the June 2 primary, Kiley led early returns, but multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Richard Pan positioned to advance alongside Kiley to the November general election. This setup, combined with historical patterns in similar California districts, has produced trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an independent Kiley victory or an unforeseen general-election shift, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given the district's composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn by recent state measures, now features a strong Democratic partisan lean with high voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera relocated to the neighboring 3rd district, while former Republican Kevin Kiley switched his affiliation to independent and entered the 6th. In the June 2 primary, Kiley led early returns, but multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Richard Pan positioned to advance alongside Kiley to the November general election. This setup, combined with historical patterns in similar California districts, has produced trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an independent Kiley victory or an unforeseen general-election shift, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given the district's composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn by recent state measures, now features a strong Democratic partisan lean with high voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera relocated to the neighboring 3rd district, while former Republican Kevin Kiley switched his affiliation to independent and entered the 6th. In the June 2 primary, Kiley led early returns, but multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Richard Pan positioned to advance alongside Kiley to the November general election. This setup, combined with historical patterns in similar California districts, has produced trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an independent Kiley victory or an unforeseen general-election shift, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given the district's composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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