North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNC -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NC -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$34,271 वॉल्यूम
$34,271 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$34,271 वॉल्यूम
$34,271 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,154 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,117 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,271समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,271समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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