Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$963 वॉल्यूम
91%
Republican Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$963समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$963समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न