Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Pittsburgh-centered electorate, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Lee's established incumbency since 2023 and fundraising position further reinforce trader positioning ahead of the contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan shift, late-breaking personal or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make such shifts improbable in this cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
$16,375 वॉल्यूम
$16,375 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$16,375 वॉल्यूम
$16,375 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,684 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$4,691 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Pittsburgh-centered electorate, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Lee's established incumbency since 2023 and fundraising position further reinforce trader positioning ahead of the contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan shift, late-breaking personal or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make such shifts improbable in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,375समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Pittsburgh-centered electorate, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Lee's established incumbency since 2023 and fundraising position further reinforce trader positioning ahead of the contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan shift, late-breaking personal or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make such shifts improbable in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$16,375समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's heavy Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Pittsburgh-centered electorate, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Lee's established incumbency since 2023 and fundraising position further reinforce trader positioning ahead of the contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan shift, late-breaking personal or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make such shifts improbable in this cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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