Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Cruz, positioning him as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar forecasters. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Wesley Hunt, sits in a Houston-area district with a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by Bonck's substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough's under $50,000. Traders price Bonck at 92.5 percent as the implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this suburban Houston constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$28,006 वॉल्यूम
$28,006 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जॉन बोंक (आर)
93%
मेलिसा मैकडोनो (डेमोक्रेट)
4%
$28,006 वॉल्यूम
$28,006 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जॉन बोंक (आर)
$17,956 वॉल्यूम
93%
मेलिसा मैकडोनो (डेमोक्रेट)
$10,050 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Cruz, positioning him as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar forecasters. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Wesley Hunt, sits in a Houston-area district with a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by Bonck's substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough's under $50,000. Traders price Bonck at 92.5 percent as the implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this suburban Houston constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,006समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Cruz, positioning him as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar forecasters. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Wesley Hunt, sits in a Houston-area district with a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by Bonck's substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough's under $50,000. Traders price Bonck at 92.5 percent as the implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this suburban Houston constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,006समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Cruz, positioning him as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar forecasters. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Wesley Hunt, sits in a Houston-area district with a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by Bonck's substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough's under $50,000. Traders price Bonck at 92.5 percent as the implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this suburban Houston constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न