The open seat in Texas's 38th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, has solidified trader consensus behind the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the district's R+10 to R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 25 points, including Hunt's 63%-37% win over the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, in 2024. March 3 primaries saw McDonough secure the Democratic nod outright, while Republicans advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47%) and airport executive Shelly deZevallos (19%) to a May 26 runoff, underscoring strong GOP contender depth in this Houston suburban battleground rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others. No recent polls show Democratic viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$11,941 वॉल्यूम
$11,941 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
82%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
18%
$11,941 वॉल्यूम
$11,941 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$8,570 वॉल्यूम
82%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$3,371 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 38th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, has solidified trader consensus behind the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the district's R+10 to R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 25 points, including Hunt's 63%-37% win over the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, in 2024. March 3 primaries saw McDonough secure the Democratic nod outright, while Republicans advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47%) and airport executive Shelly deZevallos (19%) to a May 26 runoff, underscoring strong GOP contender depth in this Houston suburban battleground rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others. No recent polls show Democratic viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,941समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 38th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, has solidified trader consensus behind the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the district's R+10 to R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 25 points, including Hunt's 63%-37% win over the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, in 2024. March 3 primaries saw McDonough secure the Democratic nod outright, while Republicans advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47%) and airport executive Shelly deZevallos (19%) to a May 26 runoff, underscoring strong GOP contender depth in this Houston suburban battleground rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others. No recent polls show Democratic viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$11,941समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas's 38th Congressional District, vacated by incumbent Republican Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, has solidified trader consensus behind the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the district's R+10 to R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP margins exceeding 25 points, including Hunt's 63%-37% win over the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, in 2024. March 3 primaries saw McDonough secure the Democratic nod outright, while Republicans advanced Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47%) and airport executive Shelly deZevallos (19%) to a May 26 runoff, underscoring strong GOP contender depth in this Houston suburban battleground rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others. No recent polls show Democratic viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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