Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$17,629 वॉल्यूम
$17,629 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
83%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
18%
$17,629 वॉल्यूम
$17,629 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,764 वॉल्यूम
83%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$5,865 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,629समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,629समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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