Texas's newly redrawn 32nd congressional district, stretching from northern Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and rates as Solid or Likely Republican across major forecasters, creating a structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after a crowded March primary where he led with 49 percent of the vote and Trump endorsement; the runoff was canceled when second-place finisher Ryan Binkley withdrew. Yarbrough has raised over $865,000 through June 2026, far outpacing Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his primary with 60 percent. These elements—district composition, primary consolidation, and fundraising edge—underpin the current trader consensus favoring Yarbrough in the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$32,374 वॉल्यूम
$32,374 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जेस यारब्रफ (आर)
85%
डैन बारियोस (डिमोक्रेट)
13%
$32,374 वॉल्यूम
$32,374 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जेस यारब्रफ (आर)
$28,308 वॉल्यूम
85%
डैन बारियोस (डिमोक्रेट)
$4,066 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's newly redrawn 32nd congressional district, stretching from northern Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and rates as Solid or Likely Republican across major forecasters, creating a structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after a crowded March primary where he led with 49 percent of the vote and Trump endorsement; the runoff was canceled when second-place finisher Ryan Binkley withdrew. Yarbrough has raised over $865,000 through June 2026, far outpacing Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his primary with 60 percent. These elements—district composition, primary consolidation, and fundraising edge—underpin the current trader consensus favoring Yarbrough in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,374समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's newly redrawn 32nd congressional district, stretching from northern Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and rates as Solid or Likely Republican across major forecasters, creating a structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after a crowded March primary where he led with 49 percent of the vote and Trump endorsement; the runoff was canceled when second-place finisher Ryan Binkley withdrew. Yarbrough has raised over $865,000 through June 2026, far outpacing Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his primary with 60 percent. These elements—district composition, primary consolidation, and fundraising edge—underpin the current trader consensus favoring Yarbrough in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,374समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's newly redrawn 32nd congressional district, stretching from northern Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and rates as Solid or Likely Republican across major forecasters, creating a structural advantage for the GOP nominee. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after a crowded March primary where he led with 49 percent of the vote and Trump endorsement; the runoff was canceled when second-place finisher Ryan Binkley withdrew. Yarbrough has raised over $865,000 through June 2026, far outpacing Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his primary with 60 percent. These elements—district composition, primary consolidation, and fundraising edge—underpin the current trader consensus favoring Yarbrough in the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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