The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50 and a Cook Political Report Solid D rating with a partisan voting index around D+8, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Hilda Solis advanced comfortably as the leading Democrat against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic candidates splitting the remainder of the vote. This outcome aligns with the seat's voter registration edge and historical performance in similar California districts. While late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, the structural advantages make such reversals unlikely based on established patterns in comparable races.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -38 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -38 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$58,840 वॉल्यूम
$58,840 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$58,840 वॉल्यूम
$58,840 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$29,243 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$29,598 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50 and a Cook Political Report Solid D rating with a partisan voting index around D+8, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Hilda Solis advanced comfortably as the leading Democrat against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic candidates splitting the remainder of the vote. This outcome aligns with the seat's voter registration edge and historical performance in similar California districts. While late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, the structural advantages make such reversals unlikely based on established patterns in comparable races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,840समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50 and a Cook Political Report Solid D rating with a partisan voting index around D+8, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Hilda Solis advanced comfortably as the leading Democrat against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic candidates splitting the remainder of the vote. This outcome aligns with the seat's voter registration edge and historical performance in similar California districts. While late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, the structural advantages make such reversals unlikely based on established patterns in comparable races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$58,840समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50 and a Cook Political Report Solid D rating with a partisan voting index around D+8, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. In the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, Hilda Solis advanced comfortably as the leading Democrat against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic candidates splitting the remainder of the vote. This outcome aligns with the seat's voter registration edge and historical performance in similar California districts. While late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, the structural advantages make such reversals unlikely based on established patterns in comparable races.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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