Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Idaho's 2nd congressional district and enters the November general election with broad institutional support in a district that encompasses eastern Idaho and parts of the Boise area. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, Simpson's decades-long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 94.5% implied probability aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge that boosts turnout, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाID -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
ID -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$31,053 वॉल्यूम
$31,053 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$31,053 वॉल्यूम
$31,053 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,246 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$17,807 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Idaho's 2nd congressional district and enters the November general election with broad institutional support in a district that encompasses eastern Idaho and parts of the Boise area. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, Simpson's decades-long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 94.5% implied probability aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge that boosts turnout, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,053समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Idaho's 2nd congressional district and enters the November general election with broad institutional support in a district that encompasses eastern Idaho and parts of the Boise area. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, Simpson's decades-long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 94.5% implied probability aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge that boosts turnout, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,053समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Idaho's 2nd congressional district and enters the November general election with broad institutional support in a district that encompasses eastern Idaho and parts of the Boise area. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters consistently rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan composition, Simpson's decades-long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 94.5% implied probability aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge that boosts turnout, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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