Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market at 75.5% due to her strong early performance in the June special primary and endorsement from the California Democratic Party in this heavily Democratic East Bay district. Early vote counts placed the state senator well ahead of other Democrats, including former Dublin Mayor and BART Director Melissa Hernandez at 16% and lower-polling candidates such as Matt Ortega and Rakhi Israni Singh. With no candidate likely securing a majority in the June 16 top-two primary, the August 18 general election would pit the top finishers against each other in a contest where Democratic frontrunners hold a clear structural advantage. Market pricing reflects this path-to-victory dynamic amid limited Republican competition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.4%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.3%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
76%
Melissa Hernandez
42%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.4%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.3%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
76%
Melissa Hernandez
42%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market at 75.5% due to her strong early performance in the June special primary and endorsement from the California Democratic Party in this heavily Democratic East Bay district. Early vote counts placed the state senator well ahead of other Democrats, including former Dublin Mayor and BART Director Melissa Hernandez at 16% and lower-polling candidates such as Matt Ortega and Rakhi Israni Singh. With no candidate likely securing a majority in the June 16 top-two primary, the August 18 general election would pit the top finishers against each other in a contest where Democratic frontrunners hold a clear structural advantage. Market pricing reflects this path-to-victory dynamic amid limited Republican competition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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