**Republican Party holds an 88.5% implied probability in the WI-06 general election on November 3, 2026, compared with 11.5% for Democrats.** The district’s consistent Republican lean, driven by its east-central Wisconsin geography encompassing Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan counties, underpins this positioning. Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014 and reelected with 61% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid Republican by analysts. Democratic primary voters chose between Amanda Bell and Brad Smith on August 11, 2026, while independents Mike Thurow and Elizabeth Fitzgibbon, plus Green Party candidate Matthew Arndt, also appear on the November ballot. Limited polling and historical margins show Republican dominance, with recent claims of narrowing gaps tied to independent messaging remaining unverified across broader data. Traders price in these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
WI -06 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$24,813 वॉल्यूम
$24,813 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$24,813 वॉल्यूम
$24,813 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$13,915 वॉल्यूम
89%
Democratic Party
$10,898 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Party holds an 88.5% implied probability in the WI-06 general election on November 3, 2026, compared with 11.5% for Democrats.**
The district’s consistent Republican lean, driven by its east-central Wisconsin geography encompassing Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan counties, underpins this positioning. Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014 and reelected with 61% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid Republican by analysts. Democratic primary voters chose between Amanda Bell and Brad Smith on August 11, 2026, while independents Mike Thurow and Elizabeth Fitzgibbon, plus Green Party candidate Matthew Arndt, also appear on the November ballot. Limited polling and historical margins show Republican dominance, with recent claims of narrowing gaps tied to independent messaging remaining unverified across broader data. Traders price in these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,813समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Party holds an 88.5% implied probability in the WI-06 general election on November 3, 2026, compared with 11.5% for Democrats.**
The district’s consistent Republican lean, driven by its east-central Wisconsin geography encompassing Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan counties, underpins this positioning. Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014 and reelected with 61% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid Republican by analysts. Democratic primary voters chose between Amanda Bell and Brad Smith on August 11, 2026, while independents Mike Thurow and Elizabeth Fitzgibbon, plus Green Party candidate Matthew Arndt, also appear on the November ballot. Limited polling and historical margins show Republican dominance, with recent claims of narrowing gaps tied to independent messaging remaining unverified across broader data. Traders price in these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,813समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Party holds an 88.5% implied probability in the WI-06 general election on November 3, 2026, compared with 11.5% for Democrats.** The district’s consistent Republican lean, driven by its east-central Wisconsin geography encompassing Fond du Lac, Oshkosh, and Sheboygan counties, underpins this positioning. Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014 and reelected with 61% in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid Republican by analysts. Democratic primary voters chose between Amanda Bell and Brad Smith on August 11, 2026, while independents Mike Thurow and Elizabeth Fitzgibbon, plus Green Party candidate Matthew Arndt, also appear on the November ballot. Limited polling and historical margins show Republican dominance, with recent claims of narrowing gaps tied to independent messaging remaining unverified across broader data. Traders price in these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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