The WI-07 seat in northwestern Wisconsin became an open race after Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024—underpins trader expectations of continued GOP control. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with a plurality of roughly 49 percent and benefits from an endorsement by President Trump as well as family ties to former representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. On the Democratic side, Fred Clark won a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election still three months away, the primary outcome and the seat’s consistent partisan tilt have reinforced the current 88.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
WI -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$34,544 वॉल्यूम
$34,544 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
89%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
12%
$34,544 वॉल्यूम
$34,544 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,945 वॉल्यूम
89%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,599 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-07 seat in northwestern Wisconsin became an open race after Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024—underpins trader expectations of continued GOP control. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with a plurality of roughly 49 percent and benefits from an endorsement by President Trump as well as family ties to former representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. On the Democratic side, Fred Clark won a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election still three months away, the primary outcome and the seat’s consistent partisan tilt have reinforced the current 88.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,544समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-07 seat in northwestern Wisconsin became an open race after Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024—underpins trader expectations of continued GOP control. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with a plurality of roughly 49 percent and benefits from an endorsement by President Trump as well as family ties to former representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. On the Democratic side, Fred Clark won a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election still three months away, the primary outcome and the seat’s consistent partisan tilt have reinforced the current 88.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,544समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-07 seat in northwestern Wisconsin became an open race after Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor rather than seek re-election. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and the prior incumbent’s 27-point margin in 2024—underpins trader expectations of continued GOP control. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with a plurality of roughly 49 percent and benefits from an endorsement by President Trump as well as family ties to former representative and current Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. On the Democratic side, Fred Clark won a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election still three months away, the primary outcome and the seat’s consistent partisan tilt have reinforced the current 88.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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