The open Wisconsin 7th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican primary entrant Michael Alfonso, Tom Tiffany's son-in-law, secured high-profile endorsements including from Donald Trump and House leaders in February 2026, bolstering GOP frontrunner status amid superior fundraising—GOP candidates raised over $3 million by late 2025 versus Democrats' under $300,000. A crowded GOP primary on August 11 precedes the November general, but the Democratic field's limited resources reinforces the partisan baseline favoring Republicans in this rural northern Wisconsin battleground.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
WI -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,176 वॉल्यूम
$14,176 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$14,176 वॉल्यूम
$14,176 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,282 वॉल्यूम
86%
Democratic Party
$7,894 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Wisconsin 7th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican primary entrant Michael Alfonso, Tom Tiffany's son-in-law, secured high-profile endorsements including from Donald Trump and House leaders in February 2026, bolstering GOP frontrunner status amid superior fundraising—GOP candidates raised over $3 million by late 2025 versus Democrats' under $300,000. A crowded GOP primary on August 11 precedes the November general, but the Democratic field's limited resources reinforces the partisan baseline favoring Republicans in this rural northern Wisconsin battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,176समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Wisconsin 7th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican primary entrant Michael Alfonso, Tom Tiffany's son-in-law, secured high-profile endorsements including from Donald Trump and House leaders in February 2026, bolstering GOP frontrunner status amid superior fundraising—GOP candidates raised over $3 million by late 2025 versus Democrats' under $300,000. A crowded GOP primary on August 11 precedes the November general, but the Democratic field's limited resources reinforces the partisan baseline favoring Republicans in this rural northern Wisconsin battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,176समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Wisconsin 7th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican primary entrant Michael Alfonso, Tom Tiffany's son-in-law, secured high-profile endorsements including from Donald Trump and House leaders in February 2026, bolstering GOP frontrunner status amid superior fundraising—GOP candidates raised over $3 million by late 2025 versus Democrats' under $300,000. A crowded GOP primary on August 11 precedes the November general, but the Democratic field's limited resources reinforces the partisan baseline favoring Republicans in this rural northern Wisconsin battleground.
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