Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results exceeding 65 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and position on the Armed Services Committee reinforce his position in a district spanning southern Seattle suburbs. Fragmented challenges from the left in the primary, including independent Kshama Sawant, prevented any unified opposition from emerging. While late developments such as scandals or health events could theoretically alter the trajectory, the district's structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure make significant shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$50,877 वॉल्यूम
$50,877 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$50,877 वॉल्यूम
$50,877 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,595 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$39,282 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results exceeding 65 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and position on the Armed Services Committee reinforce his position in a district spanning southern Seattle suburbs. Fragmented challenges from the left in the primary, including independent Kshama Sawant, prevented any unified opposition from emerging. While late developments such as scandals or health events could theoretically alter the trajectory, the district's structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure make significant shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,877समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results exceeding 65 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and position on the Armed Services Committee reinforce his position in a district spanning southern Seattle suburbs. Fragmented challenges from the left in the primary, including independent Kshama Sawant, prevented any unified opposition from emerging. While late developments such as scandals or health events could theoretically alter the trajectory, the district's structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure make significant shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$50,877समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results exceeding 65 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and position on the Armed Services Committee reinforce his position in a district spanning southern Seattle suburbs. Fragmented challenges from the left in the primary, including independent Kshama Sawant, prevented any unified opposition from emerging. While late developments such as scandals or health events could theoretically alter the trajectory, the district's structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure make significant shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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