Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% implied probability to win the SC-02 House seat, reflecting incumbent Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001 and the district's Solid Republican rating with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Trump carried SC-02 by 14 points in 2024, where Wilson secured 59.5% against Democrat David Robinson II, underscoring GOP dominance that positions Democrats at just 15.5%. The March 30 candidate filing deadline finalized primary fields—Wilson faces challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond in the June 9 Republican primary, while Democrats feature Khalifa, Pruitt, Robinson II, and Shrief—yet no polling exists, and historical primaries show Wilson's strength (73.9% in 2024). Outcomes A, B, and Other hover near 50% amid early low-volume trading, but structural factors like incumbency and electoral math sustain Republican leadership barring a primary upset or national wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSC -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
SC -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$20,990 वॉल्यूम
$20,990 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
85%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
16%
$20,990 वॉल्यूम
$20,990 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,996 वॉल्यूम
85%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$13,995 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% implied probability to win the SC-02 House seat, reflecting incumbent Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001 and the district's Solid Republican rating with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Trump carried SC-02 by 14 points in 2024, where Wilson secured 59.5% against Democrat David Robinson II, underscoring GOP dominance that positions Democrats at just 15.5%. The March 30 candidate filing deadline finalized primary fields—Wilson faces challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond in the June 9 Republican primary, while Democrats feature Khalifa, Pruitt, Robinson II, and Shrief—yet no polling exists, and historical primaries show Wilson's strength (73.9% in 2024). Outcomes A, B, and Other hover near 50% amid early low-volume trading, but structural factors like incumbency and electoral math sustain Republican leadership barring a primary upset or national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,990समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% implied probability to win the SC-02 House seat, reflecting incumbent Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001 and the district's Solid Republican rating with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Trump carried SC-02 by 14 points in 2024, where Wilson secured 59.5% against Democrat David Robinson II, underscoring GOP dominance that positions Democrats at just 15.5%. The March 30 candidate filing deadline finalized primary fields—Wilson faces challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond in the June 9 Republican primary, while Democrats feature Khalifa, Pruitt, Robinson II, and Shrief—yet no polling exists, and historical primaries show Wilson's strength (73.9% in 2024). Outcomes A, B, and Other hover near 50% amid early low-volume trading, but structural factors like incumbency and electoral math sustain Republican leadership barring a primary upset or national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,990समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% implied probability to win the SC-02 House seat, reflecting incumbent Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001 and the district's Solid Republican rating with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index. Trump carried SC-02 by 14 points in 2024, where Wilson secured 59.5% against Democrat David Robinson II, underscoring GOP dominance that positions Democrats at just 15.5%. The March 30 candidate filing deadline finalized primary fields—Wilson faces challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond in the June 9 Republican primary, while Democrats feature Khalifa, Pruitt, Robinson II, and Shrief—yet no polling exists, and historical primaries show Wilson's strength (73.9% in 2024). Outcomes A, B, and Other hover near 50% amid early low-volume trading, but structural factors like incumbency and electoral math sustain Republican leadership barring a primary upset or national wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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