South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Likely Republican seat in the 2026 midterms, with traders assigning the GOP a 69% implied probability of holding the open seat. The coastal Lowcountry district, redrawn after the 2020 census and carried comfortably by Donald Trump in 2024, favors the Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt following her June runoff victory over Mark Smith. Democrat Nancy Lacore secured her party's nomination the same month but faces structural headwinds in a district where historical voting patterns and recent polling averages show Republican advantages. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent catalysts that could shift the balance before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSC -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
SC -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$52,118 वॉल्यूम
$52,118 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
31%
$52,118 वॉल्यूम
$52,118 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,499 वॉल्यूम
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$39,619 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Likely Republican seat in the 2026 midterms, with traders assigning the GOP a 69% implied probability of holding the open seat. The coastal Lowcountry district, redrawn after the 2020 census and carried comfortably by Donald Trump in 2024, favors the Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt following her June runoff victory over Mark Smith. Democrat Nancy Lacore secured her party's nomination the same month but faces structural headwinds in a district where historical voting patterns and recent polling averages show Republican advantages. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent catalysts that could shift the balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,118समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Likely Republican seat in the 2026 midterms, with traders assigning the GOP a 69% implied probability of holding the open seat. The coastal Lowcountry district, redrawn after the 2020 census and carried comfortably by Donald Trump in 2024, favors the Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt following her June runoff victory over Mark Smith. Democrat Nancy Lacore secured her party's nomination the same month but faces structural headwinds in a district where historical voting patterns and recent polling averages show Republican advantages. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent catalysts that could shift the balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$52,118समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a Likely Republican seat in the 2026 midterms, with traders assigning the GOP a 69% implied probability of holding the open seat. The coastal Lowcountry district, redrawn after the 2020 census and carried comfortably by Donald Trump in 2024, favors the Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt following her June runoff victory over Mark Smith. Democrat Nancy Lacore secured her party's nomination the same month but faces structural headwinds in a district where historical voting patterns and recent polling averages show Republican advantages. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited recent catalysts that could shift the balance before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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