Republican incumbent John McGuire enters the November 3, 2026, general election as the clear frontrunner in Virginia's 5th Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Melanie Lucero by a wide margin on August 4. The central Virginia seat carries a Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. McGuire's prior 2024 victory and name recognition provide structural advantages in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Tom Perriello, who won his August 4 primary, faces the challenge of shifting the electorate in a contest rated as safely Republican by most forecasters, though fundraising and turnout in rural and suburban counties could influence final margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाVA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
VA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$63,658 वॉल्यूम
$63,658 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
80%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
16%
$63,658 वॉल्यूम
$63,658 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$31,290 वॉल्यूम
80%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$32,368 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John McGuire enters the November 3, 2026, general election as the clear frontrunner in Virginia's 5th Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Melanie Lucero by a wide margin on August 4. The central Virginia seat carries a Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. McGuire's prior 2024 victory and name recognition provide structural advantages in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Tom Perriello, who won his August 4 primary, faces the challenge of shifting the electorate in a contest rated as safely Republican by most forecasters, though fundraising and turnout in rural and suburban counties could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,658समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John McGuire enters the November 3, 2026, general election as the clear frontrunner in Virginia's 5th Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Melanie Lucero by a wide margin on August 4. The central Virginia seat carries a Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. McGuire's prior 2024 victory and name recognition provide structural advantages in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Tom Perriello, who won his August 4 primary, faces the challenge of shifting the electorate in a contest rated as safely Republican by most forecasters, though fundraising and turnout in rural and suburban counties could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$63,658समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John McGuire enters the November 3, 2026, general election as the clear frontrunner in Virginia's 5th Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Melanie Lucero by a wide margin on August 4. The central Virginia seat carries a Republican partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024 and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. McGuire's prior 2024 victory and name recognition provide structural advantages in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Tom Perriello, who won his August 4 primary, faces the challenge of shifting the electorate in a contest rated as safely Republican by most forecasters, though fundraising and turnout in rural and suburban counties could influence final margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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