Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
32%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$164 वॉल्यूम
69%
Democratic Party
$350 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$514समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$514समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न