Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024 after the prior representative vacated the seat. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan balance, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and historical turnout patterns among college students and suburban voters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a 61.5% implied probability, consistent with the seat's marginal status and recent primary resolution clarifying the Democratic challenger. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the week since the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,095 वॉल्यूम
$17,095 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
37%
$17,095 वॉल्यूम
$17,095 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,728 वॉल्यूम
62%
Republican Party
$5,367 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024 after the prior representative vacated the seat. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan balance, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and historical turnout patterns among college students and suburban voters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a 61.5% implied probability, consistent with the seat's marginal status and recent primary resolution clarifying the Democratic challenger. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the week since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,095समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024 after the prior representative vacated the seat. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan balance, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and historical turnout patterns among college students and suburban voters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a 61.5% implied probability, consistent with the seat's marginal status and recent primary resolution clarifying the Democratic challenger. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the week since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,095समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won narrowly in 2024 after the prior representative vacated the seat. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee William Lawrence, a progressive activist, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan balance, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and historical turnout patterns among college students and suburban voters. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a 61.5% implied probability, consistent with the seat's marginal status and recent primary resolution clarifying the Democratic challenger. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the week since the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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