Redistricting after the prior cycle reshaped Florida's 22nd congressional district, incorporating additional Broward, Palm Beach, and Collier County areas that improved Republican performance in recent cycles and produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters now rate the seat Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, aligning with current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel. The August 18 primaries remain the immediate catalyst, with Republican contenders including Michael Carbonara and Democratic hopefuls Pia Dandiya advancing toward the November 3 general election. This structural shift from prior Democratic strength has positioned the race as competitive but Republican-leaning in the eyes of market participants assessing voter turnout and candidate recruitment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -22 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
FL -22 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$36,739 वॉल्यूम
$36,739 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
59%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
39%
$36,739 वॉल्यूम
$36,739 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$20,969 वॉल्यूम
59%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,770 वॉल्यूम
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the prior cycle reshaped Florida's 22nd congressional district, incorporating additional Broward, Palm Beach, and Collier County areas that improved Republican performance in recent cycles and produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters now rate the seat Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, aligning with current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel. The August 18 primaries remain the immediate catalyst, with Republican contenders including Michael Carbonara and Democratic hopefuls Pia Dandiya advancing toward the November 3 general election. This structural shift from prior Democratic strength has positioned the race as competitive but Republican-leaning in the eyes of market participants assessing voter turnout and candidate recruitment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,739समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the prior cycle reshaped Florida's 22nd congressional district, incorporating additional Broward, Palm Beach, and Collier County areas that improved Republican performance in recent cycles and produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters now rate the seat Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, aligning with current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel. The August 18 primaries remain the immediate catalyst, with Republican contenders including Michael Carbonara and Democratic hopefuls Pia Dandiya advancing toward the November 3 general election. This structural shift from prior Democratic strength has positioned the race as competitive but Republican-leaning in the eyes of market participants assessing voter turnout and candidate recruitment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,739समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after the prior cycle reshaped Florida's 22nd congressional district, incorporating additional Broward, Palm Beach, and Collier County areas that improved Republican performance in recent cycles and produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters now rate the seat Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, aligning with current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel. The August 18 primaries remain the immediate catalyst, with Republican contenders including Michael Carbonara and Democratic hopefuls Pia Dandiya advancing toward the November 3 general election. This structural shift from prior Democratic strength has positioned the race as competitive but Republican-leaning in the eyes of market participants assessing voter turnout and candidate recruitment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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