In Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold that last elected a Republican during Harry Truman's presidency, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability following Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17, 2026, primary over 15 challengers. Longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement opened the seat, but the district's consistent blue voting patterns—bolstered by strong Democratic turnout in Chicago's North Shore and suburbs—have sustained the frontrunner status amid sparse general election polling. The Republican nominee faces steep barriers in this D+20-plus territory, though a major Democratic scandal, candidate health issue, or national GOP wave could shift odds before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
IL -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,922 वॉल्यूम
$14,922 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$14,922 वॉल्यूम
$14,922 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,715 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$5,207 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold that last elected a Republican during Harry Truman's presidency, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability following Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17, 2026, primary over 15 challengers. Longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement opened the seat, but the district's consistent blue voting patterns—bolstered by strong Democratic turnout in Chicago's North Shore and suburbs—have sustained the frontrunner status amid sparse general election polling. The Republican nominee faces steep barriers in this D+20-plus territory, though a major Democratic scandal, candidate health issue, or national GOP wave could shift odds before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,922समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold that last elected a Republican during Harry Truman's presidency, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability following Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17, 2026, primary over 15 challengers. Longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement opened the seat, but the district's consistent blue voting patterns—bolstered by strong Democratic turnout in Chicago's North Shore and suburbs—have sustained the frontrunner status amid sparse general election polling. The Republican nominee faces steep barriers in this D+20-plus territory, though a major Democratic scandal, candidate health issue, or national GOP wave could shift odds before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,922समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold that last elected a Republican during Harry Truman's presidency, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability following Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17, 2026, primary over 15 challengers. Longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky's 2025 retirement opened the seat, but the district's consistent blue voting patterns—bolstered by strong Democratic turnout in Chicago's North Shore and suburbs—have sustained the frontrunner status amid sparse general election polling. The Republican nominee faces steep barriers in this D+20-plus territory, though a major Democratic scandal, candidate health issue, or national GOP wave could shift odds before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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