The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's North Side Chicago and suburban voter base. A national Republican surge or unforeseen nominee issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
IL -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$31,610 वॉल्यूम
$31,610 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$31,610 वॉल्यूम
$31,610 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$17,356 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,254 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's North Side Chicago and suburban voter base. A national Republican surge or unforeseen nominee issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,610समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's North Side Chicago and suburban voter base. A national Republican surge or unforeseen nominee issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,610समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's North Side Chicago and suburban voter base. A national Republican surge or unforeseen nominee issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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