The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by decades of lopsided election results including an 83% margin in 2024, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford amid a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chad Koppie. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have occurred to alter positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unusually strong national Republican performance, or sharply higher turnout in suburban pockets, though historical patterns indicate such developments would need to overcome substantial structural barriers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -07 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
IL -07 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$20,487 वॉल्यूम
$20,487 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
1%
$20,487 वॉल्यूम
$20,487 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$6,969 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,517 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by decades of lopsided election results including an 83% margin in 2024, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford amid a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chad Koppie. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have occurred to alter positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unusually strong national Republican performance, or sharply higher turnout in suburban pockets, though historical patterns indicate such developments would need to overcome substantial structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,487समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by decades of lopsided election results including an 83% margin in 2024, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford amid a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chad Koppie. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have occurred to alter positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unusually strong national Republican performance, or sharply higher turnout in suburban pockets, though historical patterns indicate such developments would need to overcome substantial structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,487समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by decades of lopsided election results including an 83% margin in 2024, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford amid a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chad Koppie. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, limited fundraising or polling shifts have occurred to alter positioning. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unusually strong national Republican performance, or sharply higher turnout in suburban pockets, though historical patterns indicate such developments would need to overcome substantial structural barriers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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