Republican incumbent Bob Onder holds a strong position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2013, with Onder securing 61.3% in his 2024 victory and the district carrying a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10. A Republican primary challenge from John Fraser and an imminent Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 88.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's consistent electoral history, limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election environment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$14,160 वॉल्यूम
$14,160 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,160 वॉल्यूम
$14,160 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,321 वॉल्यूम
89%
Democratic Party
$8,839 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder holds a strong position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2013, with Onder securing 61.3% in his 2024 victory and the district carrying a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10. A Republican primary challenge from John Fraser and an imminent Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 88.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's consistent electoral history, limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,160समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder holds a strong position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2013, with Onder securing 61.3% in his 2024 victory and the district carrying a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10. A Republican primary challenge from John Fraser and an imminent Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 88.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's consistent electoral history, limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,160समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder holds a strong position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The seat has remained in Republican hands since 2013, with Onder securing 61.3% in his 2024 victory and the district carrying a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10. A Republican primary challenge from John Fraser and an imminent Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates have not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 88.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's consistent electoral history, limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election environment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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