The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -25 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
FL -25 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$18,207 वॉल्यूम
$18,207 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
66%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
36%
$18,207 वॉल्यूम
$18,207 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$4,564 वॉल्यूम
66%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,642 वॉल्यूम
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,207समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,207समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn Florida congressional map effective for 2026 created a competitive FL-25 district rated a toss-up by major forecasters, with recent Middle Seat polling from early May showing Democratic candidates leading Republican opponents by 9–12 points in general-election hypotheticals. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary, while multiple Republicans including Scott Singer contest their side. Traders appear to assign higher implied probability to a Democratic hold based on the district’s coastal Broward-Palm Beach-Miami-Dade composition, primary dynamics, and early polling trends ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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