Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar’s 60.4% win in 2024 underpin the 70% Republican probability on Polymarket. A new congressional map enacted in May 2026 and upheld by a state judge further tilts the statewide playing field toward Republicans. Salazar’s substantial fundraising lead and primary challengers in both parties have not altered the core dynamics, while Democratic contenders remain early in their August primary process. Forecasters cite limited recent polling shifts and the district’s underlying Republican tilt as sustaining the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$13,212 वॉल्यूम
$13,212 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
26%
$13,212 वॉल्यूम
$13,212 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,676 वॉल्यूम
70%
Democratic Party
$7,535 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar’s 60.4% win in 2024 underpin the 70% Republican probability on Polymarket. A new congressional map enacted in May 2026 and upheld by a state judge further tilts the statewide playing field toward Republicans. Salazar’s substantial fundraising lead and primary challengers in both parties have not altered the core dynamics, while Democratic contenders remain early in their August primary process. Forecasters cite limited recent polling shifts and the district’s underlying Republican tilt as sustaining the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,212समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar’s 60.4% win in 2024 underpin the 70% Republican probability on Polymarket. A new congressional map enacted in May 2026 and upheld by a state judge further tilts the statewide playing field toward Republicans. Salazar’s substantial fundraising lead and primary challengers in both parties have not altered the core dynamics, while Democratic contenders remain early in their August primary process. Forecasters cite limited recent polling shifts and the district’s underlying Republican tilt as sustaining the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,212समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and Salazar’s 60.4% win in 2024 underpin the 70% Republican probability on Polymarket. A new congressional map enacted in May 2026 and upheld by a state judge further tilts the statewide playing field toward Republicans. Salazar’s substantial fundraising lead and primary challengers in both parties have not altered the core dynamics, while Democratic contenders remain early in their August primary process. Forecasters cite limited recent polling shifts and the district’s underlying Republican tilt as sustaining the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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