Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and D+13 partisan voting index, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. The district's Hispanic-majority composition and consistent support in recent cycles have limited Republican prospects, with nominee Daniel Butierez facing an uphill path after uncontested primaries. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through prior elections. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national realignment could narrow margins, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's voting history.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$17,059 वॉल्यूम
$17,059 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$17,059 वॉल्यूम
$17,059 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$11,265 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and D+13 partisan voting index, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. The district's Hispanic-majority composition and consistent support in recent cycles have limited Republican prospects, with nominee Daniel Butierez facing an uphill path after uncontested primaries. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through prior elections. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national realignment could narrow margins, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,059समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and D+13 partisan voting index, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. The district's Hispanic-majority composition and consistent support in recent cycles have limited Republican prospects, with nominee Daniel Butierez facing an uphill path after uncontested primaries. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through prior elections. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national realignment could narrow margins, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,059समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and D+13 partisan voting index, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. The district's Hispanic-majority composition and consistent support in recent cycles have limited Republican prospects, with nominee Daniel Butierez facing an uphill path after uncontested primaries. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through prior elections. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national realignment could narrow margins, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's voting history.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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