Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and her 2024 general election margin near 69 percent. The southern border district's Hispanic-majority electorate has consistently supported Democratic candidates, even after a modest rightward shift in 2024. Both candidates secured their nominations in the July 2026 primaries with minimal opposition, leaving Grijalva as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats captures this structural advantage and limited Republican path to victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout or a broader national wave favoring the GOP, though historical base rates in similar safe Democratic seats suggest these remain low-probability outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$21,042 वॉल्यूम
$21,042 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,042 वॉल्यूम
$21,042 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$15,248 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and her 2024 general election margin near 69 percent. The southern border district's Hispanic-majority electorate has consistently supported Democratic candidates, even after a modest rightward shift in 2024. Both candidates secured their nominations in the July 2026 primaries with minimal opposition, leaving Grijalva as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats captures this structural advantage and limited Republican path to victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout or a broader national wave favoring the GOP, though historical base rates in similar safe Democratic seats suggest these remain low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,042समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and her 2024 general election margin near 69 percent. The southern border district's Hispanic-majority electorate has consistently supported Democratic candidates, even after a modest rightward shift in 2024. Both candidates secured their nominations in the July 2026 primaries with minimal opposition, leaving Grijalva as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats captures this structural advantage and limited Republican path to victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout or a broader national wave favoring the GOP, though historical base rates in similar safe Democratic seats suggest these remain low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,042समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and her 2024 general election margin near 69 percent. The southern border district's Hispanic-majority electorate has consistently supported Democratic candidates, even after a modest rightward shift in 2024. Both candidates secured their nominations in the July 2026 primaries with minimal opposition, leaving Grijalva as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats captures this structural advantage and limited Republican path to victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout or a broader national wave favoring the GOP, though historical base rates in similar safe Democratic seats suggest these remain low-probability outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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