Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette's narrow qualification for the June 30 Democratic primary ballot—barely securing 30% delegate support against progressive challenger Melat Kiros at the March 27 district assembly—has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in Colorado's 1st Congressional District, rated D+29 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Denver-based seat's deep-blue lean, evidenced by massive Biden margins in recent presidential races, combined with no prominent Republican primary contender emerging, drives the commanding 93% implied probability for Democrats in the November 3 general election. An upset Kiros primary win, a strong GOP nominee, national midterm dynamics, or nominee scandal could shift odds, though structural barriers remain formidable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCO -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CO -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,649 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$6,049 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette's narrow qualification for the June 30 Democratic primary ballot—barely securing 30% delegate support against progressive challenger Melat Kiros at the March 27 district assembly—has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in Colorado's 1st Congressional District, rated D+29 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Denver-based seat's deep-blue lean, evidenced by massive Biden margins in recent presidential races, combined with no prominent Republican primary contender emerging, drives the commanding 93% implied probability for Democrats in the November 3 general election. An upset Kiros primary win, a strong GOP nominee, national midterm dynamics, or nominee scandal could shift odds, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,697समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette's narrow qualification for the June 30 Democratic primary ballot—barely securing 30% delegate support against progressive challenger Melat Kiros at the March 27 district assembly—has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in Colorado's 1st Congressional District, rated D+29 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Denver-based seat's deep-blue lean, evidenced by massive Biden margins in recent presidential races, combined with no prominent Republican primary contender emerging, drives the commanding 93% implied probability for Democrats in the November 3 general election. An upset Kiros primary win, a strong GOP nominee, national midterm dynamics, or nominee scandal could shift odds, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,697समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette's narrow qualification for the June 30 Democratic primary ballot—barely securing 30% delegate support against progressive challenger Melat Kiros at the March 27 district assembly—has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in Colorado's 1st Congressional District, rated D+29 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Denver-based seat's deep-blue lean, evidenced by massive Biden margins in recent presidential races, combined with no prominent Republican primary contender emerging, drives the commanding 93% implied probability for Democrats in the November 3 general election. An upset Kiros primary win, a strong GOP nominee, national midterm dynamics, or nominee scandal could shift odds, though structural barriers remain formidable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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