Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाME -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
ME -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$24,600 वॉल्यूम
$24,600 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
92%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
8%
$24,600 वॉल्यूम
$24,600 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$21,093 वॉल्यूम
92%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$3,507 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,600समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,600समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Maine's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+11 partisan lean, her unchallenged tenure since 2009, and consistent general election margins above 58% in recent cycles including 2024. State Rep. Tiffany Roberts withdrew her Democratic primary challenge after failing to qualify for the June 9 ballot, clearing Pingree's nomination path against underfunded Republican primary contenders Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald C. Russell, who lost decisively to her previously. With Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic, national midterm dynamics would need an extraordinary Republican wave, Pingree scandal, or health issue to shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न